We Are Not Doomed: Official Predictions

If you didn't receive one of my 17 accidental Facebook invites: Please bring friends and join...me? a group of us? whoever! at Bobby O'Briens in downtown Guelph from somewhere just before 6 until late to watch the election results.

With very little time left in the election, it will be difficult for either party to do anything that will influence results at this point. Hundreds of thousands of ballots have already been cast, and there just isn't enough time for either Hillary or The Offensive One to do anything, spin it, and have it stick. Expect many, many, many allegations...some of which may even be founded, but don't expect them to have an impact.

Here are my predictions, so that I can be ridiculed at a later date:

House of Representatives:
Currently: R-246, D-186
Democrats pick up a net total of 15 seats, Republicans keep control of the House 235-201.

Senate: 
Democrats win 16 seats, Republicans win 17. Democrats take back majority of the Senate 50 D, 48 R, 2 I..
Currently: 54 R, 44 D, 2 I.
Democrats win in:
Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin, Indiana, Maryland, Connecticut, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, North Carolina.
Republicans win in:
Alaska, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Kansas, Oklahoma, Both Dakotas, Iowa, Arkansas, Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio.

North Carolina and Pennsylvania don't get called until later on in the week after election day.

President:
Hillary Wins.

Popular vote:
HRC - 49%
THE DONALD - 39%
Other Candidates - 12%

Electoral College
Hillary - 376. THE DONALD - 162
Hillary Wins:
(Notable First, as they're obvious long shots. then from east to west.):
Texas.
Alaska.
Maine (both), Nebraska (1/5)
NH, VT, MA, RI, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC, PA, VA, NC, FL, MI, IL, WI, MN, CO, NM, AZ, NV, WAS, OR, CA, HI.

THE DONALD WINS:
Iowa (sorry Obama team), Ohio
Nebraska (4/5)
WV, SC, GA, AL MS, TN, KY, IN, MO, AR, KS, OK, SD, ND, MT, WU, ID UT.

Other Random Predictions
It will be painfully obvious that the election is over by around 8:15pm (Ohio & North Carolina will be called), but they probably won't call that Hillary has won until 10pm, as West Coast voters can vote until as late as 11pm Eastern time. Turmp won't give a concession speech, but either: a) Will announce the launch of his new media empire. b) Insult President Clinton c) Imply that "his people" should demand a recount. Answer "c" scares me a little.

Poll Closing Times (EST)
Note, some states may get called before people have finished voting.

  • 6pm - Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina
  • 7pm - Florida, Georgia, Vermont, Virginia, Indiana, Kentucky
  • 7:30pm - North Carolina, Ohio
  • 8pm - Connecticut, Delaware, DC, Maine, Maryland, Mass,  NH, NH, Penn, RI, Tenn, Alabama, Florida, Illinois, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee
  • 8:30pm - Arkansas
  • 9pm - Wyoming, New York, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, South Dakota, Texas
  • 10pm - Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Utah, Nevada
  • 11pm - North Dakota, California, Idaho, Oregon, Washington
  • Midnight - Alaska





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